Lichtenberg vs Eintracht Mahlsdorf: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 30Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)HOWOGE-Arena Hans Zoschke, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Eintracht Mahlsdorf. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lichtenberg vs Eintracht Mahlsdorf?
Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lichtenberg have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Eintracht Mahlsdorf have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dresden II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Optik Rathenow(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 16, 2026 | Anker Wismar(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lichtenberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Eintracht Mahlsdorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf 0-4 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Lichtenberg 4-3 Eintracht Mahlsdorf | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf 2-1 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Lichtenberg 2-2 Eintracht Mahlsdorf | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2024 | Lichtenberg 1-0 Eintracht Mahlsdorf | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf 0-4 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Eintracht Mahlsdorf vs Lichtenberg on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lichtenberg score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Mahlsdorf score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lichtenberg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Eintracht Mahlsdorf | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lichtenberg sit 8th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (3 points from 2 matches) and Eintracht Mahlsdorf sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lichtenberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lichtenberg vs Eintracht Mahlsdorf?
- The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Eintracht Mahlsdorf.
- Where and when is Lichtenberg vs Eintracht Mahlsdorf played?
- Lichtenberg vs Eintracht Mahlsdorf is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at HOWOGE-Arena Hans Zoschke, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Optik RathenowvsSparta Lichtenberg
- May 22, 2027Tennis BorussiavsHertha Zehlendorf
- May 22, 2027Anker WismarvsUnion Klosterfelde
- May 22, 2027MakkabivsFC Lok Stendal
- May 22, 2027Mecklenburg SchwerinvsReinickendorfer Fuchse
- May 22, 2027Hansa Rostock IIvsNeustrelitz
- May 22, 2027SiedenbollentinvsBAK '07