Where and when is BAK '07 vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?

BAK '07 vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on February 21, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Poststadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

BAK '07 vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 18Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Poststadion, Berlin

BAK '07

Sparta Lichtenberg

The Footlab model makes BAK '07 the favourite at 46%, against 21% for a draw and 33% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BAK '07 vs Sparta Lichtenberg?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate BAK '07 (1,711) and Sparta Lichtenberg (1,737).

BAK '07 win46 %

Draw21 %

Sparta Lichtenberg win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BAK '07 have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BAK '07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Reinickendorfer Fuchse(home)	2-1	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 8, 2026	Optik Rathenow(away)	0-0	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jul 17, 2026	BFC Dynamo(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026	Neustrelitz(away)	1-2	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
May 17, 2026	Union Klosterfelde(home)	3-0	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

Sparta Lichtenberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Mecklenburg Schwerin(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 9, 2026	Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 2, 2026	Krieschow(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026	Siedenbollentin(away)	3-4	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
May 17, 2026	Neustrelitz(home)	4-2	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 BAK '07 win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	Sparta Lichtenberg 3-1 BAK '07	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Sep 28, 2025	BAK '07 4-1 Sparta Lichtenberg	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Dec 15, 2024	Sparta Lichtenberg 3-3 BAK '07	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 3, 2024	BAK '07 0-0 Sparta Lichtenberg	Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs BAK '07 on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BAK '07 score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
BAK '07	1.3	2.1	4	7/15	10/15
Sparta Lichtenberg	2.3	2.1	0	14/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BAK '07 sit 4th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (4 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	BAK '07	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
10	Sparta Lichtenberg	2	0	2	0	2	2	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BAK '07 vs Sparta Lichtenberg?: The Footlab model makes BAK '07 the favourite at 46%, against 21% for a draw and 33% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
Where and when is BAK '07 vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?: BAK '07 vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on February 21, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Poststadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.