Match

BAK '07 vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 18Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Poststadion, Berlin

BAK '07Sparta Lichtenberg

The Footlab AI model makes BAK '07 the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,597 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win BAK '07 vs Sparta Lichtenberg?

On Elo ratings, BAK '07 has 1,767 points and Sparta Lichtenberg 1,709.

55%21%24%
BAK '07 winDrawSparta Lichtenberg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for BAK '07 vs Sparta Lichtenberg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

BAK '07

4-3-3
  1. 11F. Pilger
  2. 8M. Bremer
  3. 20Hamid Sen
  1. 37R. Ivanković
  2. 19U. Osawe
  3. 24O. Schindler
  1. 26Panzu Ernesto de Angelo
  2. 81S. Yamada
  3. 22H. Wurr
  4. 5R. Capoano
  1. 1L. Zwick

Sparta Lichtenberg

Not enough data to predict the Sparta Lichtenberg lineup.

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 02:18 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BAK '07 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

BAK '07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Union Klosterfelde(home)1-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Sep 27, 2026Neustrelitz(away)3-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Sep 20, 2026Eintracht Mahlsdorf(home)1-0Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Sep 13, 2026Mecklenburg Schwerin(home)2-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 30, 2026Sparta Lichtenberg(away)3-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Sparta Lichtenberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Hertha Zehlendorf(home)0-4Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Sep 27, 2026Union Klosterfelde(away)1-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Sep 20, 2026Neustrelitz(home)4-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Sep 13, 2026Eintracht Mahlsdorf(away)0-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 30, 2026BAK '07(home)1-3Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 BAK '07 wins, 2 draws, 1 Sparta Lichtenberg win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2026Sparta Lichtenberg 1-3 BAK '07Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Mar 22, 2026Sparta Lichtenberg 3-1 BAK '07Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Sep 28, 2025BAK '07 4-1 Sparta LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Dec 15, 2024Sparta Lichtenberg 3-3 BAK '07Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 3, 2024BAK '07 0-0 Sparta LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord

Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs BAK '07 on Aug 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

BAK '07 score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
BAK '071.51.348/158/15
Sparta Lichtenberg2.12.1012/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

BAK '07 sit 1st in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (14 points from 6 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 14th (5 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1BAK '07642011514
14Sparta Lichtenberg61238105

A question about BAK '07 vs Sparta Lichtenberg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for BAK '07 vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
The Footlab AI model makes BAK '07 the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
Where and when is BAK '07 vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?
BAK '07 vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on February 21, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Poststadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: BAK '07 and Sparta Lichtenberg

Ready to know everything about football?