Mecklenburg Schwerin vs BAK '07: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 19Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Lankow, Schwerin
The Footlab model makes Mecklenburg Schwerin the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for BAK '07. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mecklenburg Schwerin vs BAK '07?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Mecklenburg Schwerin (1,623) and BAK '07 (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mecklenburg Schwerin have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; BAK '07 have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Makkabi(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Hansa Rostock II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Makkabi(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Optik Rathenow(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Optik Rathenow(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 17, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Neustrelitz(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Mecklenburg Schwerin score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; BAK '07 score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mecklenburg Schwerin | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| BAK '07 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mecklenburg Schwerin sit 2nd in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (4 points from 2 matches) and BAK '07 sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mecklenburg Schwerin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | BAK '07 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mecklenburg Schwerin vs BAK '07?
- The Footlab model makes Mecklenburg Schwerin the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for BAK '07.
- Where and when is Mecklenburg Schwerin vs BAK '07 played?
- Mecklenburg Schwerin vs BAK '07 is played on February 28, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Lankow, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027LichtenbergvsFC Lok Stendal
- Feb 28, 2027Optik RathenowvsUnion Klosterfelde
- Feb 28, 2027Sparta LichtenbergvsEintracht Mahlsdorf
- Feb 28, 2027Anker WismarvsTennis Borussia
- Feb 28, 2027Hansa Rostock IIvsMakkabi
- Feb 28, 2027Reinickendorfer FuchsevsNeustrelitz
- Feb 28, 2027SiedenbollentinvsHertha Zehlendorf