Bakaridjan vs Derby Academie: prediction and stats
Première DivisionMatchday 3Kick-off on November 16, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Amary Daou, Ségou
The Footlab AI model makes Derby Academie the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Bakaridjan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Derby Academie wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,538 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bakaridjan vs Derby Academie?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Bakaridjan (1,636) and Derby Academie (1,604).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bakaridjan vs Derby Academie
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bakaridjan
Not enough data to predict the Bakaridjan lineup.
Derby Academie
Not enough data to predict the Derby Academie lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 01:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bakaridjan have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Derby Academie have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | US Bougouba(away) | 0-0 | Première Division |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Afrique Football Élite(home) | 2-1 | Première Division |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Bougouni(home) | 4-1 | Première Division |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Onze Créateurs(away) | 0-0 | Première Division |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Stade Malien Bamako(home) | 0-2 | Première Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | AS Kayes(home) | 3-1 | Première Division |
| Nov 2, 2026 | ASKO(away) | 3-2 | Première Division |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Afrique Football Élite(away) | 1-2 | Première Division |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Mali Coura(home) | 2-2 | Première Division |
| Jun 4, 2026 | ASKO(away) | 0-2 | Première Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bakaridjan win, 0 draws, 1 Derby Academie win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Bakaridjan 0-1 Derby Academie | Première Division |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Derby Academie 0-1 Bakaridjan | Première Division |
Last archived meeting: Bakaridjan vs Derby Academie on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bakaridjan score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Derby Academie score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bakaridjan | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Derby Academie | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bakaridjan sit 5th in Première Division (4 points from 2 matches) and Derby Academie sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derby Academie | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Bakaridjan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
A question about Bakaridjan vs Derby Academie?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bakaridjan vs Derby Academie?
- The Footlab AI model makes Derby Academie the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Bakaridjan.
- Where and when is Bakaridjan vs Derby Academie played?
- Bakaridjan vs Derby Academie is played on November 16, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Amary Daou, in the Première Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.