Diarra vs ASKO: prediction and stats
Première DivisionRegular Season - 3Kick-off on November 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Diarra the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for ASKO. The most likely score is 1-1. If Diarra wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,243 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Diarra vs ASKO?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Diarra (1,643) and ASKO (1,586).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Diarra vs ASKO
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Diarra
Not enough data to predict the Diarra lineup.
ASKO
Not enough data to predict the ASKO lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Diarra have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; ASKO have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Stade Malien Bamako(away) | 0-1 | Première Division |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Djoliba(home) | 0-0 | Première Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | ASC Kara(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | ASC Kara(home) | 3-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Réal Bamako(away) | 0-0 | Première Division |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Derby Academie(home) | 2-3 | Première Division |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Djoliba(home) | 1-3 | Première Division |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Afrique Football Élite(away) | 3-5 | Première Division |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Derby Academie(home) | 2-0 | Première Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Diarra win, 2 draws, 1 ASKO win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Diarra 0-0 ASKO | Première Division |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ASKO 1-2 Diarra | Première Division |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Diarra 0-0 ASKO | Première Division |
| Dec 6, 2024 | ASKO 1-0 Diarra | Première Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Diarra score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; ASKO score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diarra | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| ASKO | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Diarra sit 9th in Première Division (1 point from 1 match) and ASKO sit 11th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Diarra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | ASKO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Diarra vs ASKO?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Diarra vs ASKO?
- The Footlab AI model makes Diarra the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for ASKO.
- Where and when is Diarra vs ASKO played?
- Diarra vs ASKO is played on November 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Première Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.