Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Dakhleya: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)El Mahalla Stadium, El-Mahalla El-Kubra
The Footlab model makes Baladiyyat Al Mehalla the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for El Dakhleya. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Dakhleya?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Baladiyyat Al Mehalla (1,628) and El Dakhleya (1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; El Dakhleya have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | El Mansura(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | El Mansura(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | El Dakhleya(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mega Sport(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Proxy(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Aswan Sc(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 El Dakhleya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | El Dakhleya 0-2 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | Second League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-1 El Dakhleya | Second League |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-2 El Dakhleya | Second League |
| Oct 7, 2024 | El Dakhleya 0-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | Second League |
| May 21, 2024 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-0 El Dakhleya | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2023 | El Dakhleya 0-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: El Dakhleya vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; El Dakhleya score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| El Dakhleya | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla sit 14th in Second League (0 points from 1 matches) and El Dakhleya sit 13th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | El Dakhleya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Dakhleya?
- The Footlab model makes Baladiyyat Al Mehalla the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for El Dakhleya.
- Where and when is Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Dakhleya played?
- Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Dakhleya is played on August 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at El Mahalla Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.