Match

Pharco vs El Mansura: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Haras El Hodoud Stadium, Alexandria

PharcoEl Mansura

The Footlab model makes Pharco the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for El Mansura. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pharco vs El Mansura?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Pharco (1,709) and El Mansura (1,681).

Pharco win37 %
Draw33 %
El Mansura win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pharco have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; El Mansura have 4, 9 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pharco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Proxy(away)1-0Second League
May 28, 2026Ismaily SC(away)2-1Premier League
May 22, 2026National Bank of Egypt(home)0-1Premier League
May 18, 2026El Geish(away)0-1Premier League
May 12, 2026Future FC(home)0-1Premier League
El Mansura
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home)2-1Second League
May 14, 2026Tanta SC(away)1-1Second League
May 7, 2026Asyut Petrol(home)1-1Second League
Apr 30, 2026Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(away)0-0Second League
Apr 23, 2026Raya Ghazl(away)2-1Second League

How many goals should we expect?

Pharco score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; El Mansura score 0.8 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pharco0.50.935/152/15
El Mansura0.80.676/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pharco sit 7th in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and El Mansura sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4El Mansura1100213
7Pharco1100103

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pharco vs El Mansura?
The Footlab model makes Pharco the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for El Mansura.
Where and when is Pharco vs El Mansura played?
Pharco vs El Mansura is played on August 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Haras El Hodoud Stadium, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pharco and El Mansura

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