Pharco vs El Mansura: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Haras El Hodoud Stadium, Alexandria
The Footlab model makes Pharco the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for El Mansura. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pharco vs El Mansura?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Pharco (1,709) and El Mansura (1,681).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pharco have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; El Mansura have 4, 9 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Proxy(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 28, 2026 | Ismaily SC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | El Geish(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Raya Ghazl(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Pharco score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; El Mansura score 0.8 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pharco | 0.5 | 0.9 | 3 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| El Mansura | 0.8 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pharco sit 7th in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and El Mansura sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | El Mansura | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Pharco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pharco vs El Mansura?
- The Footlab model makes Pharco the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for El Mansura.
- Where and when is Pharco vs El Mansura played?
- Pharco vs El Mansura is played on August 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Haras El Hodoud Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 27, 2026TersanavsLa Viena FC
- Aug 27, 2026Kahraba IsmailiavsProxy
- Aug 27, 2026Maleyet Kafr El ZayiatvsTanta SC
- Aug 27, 2026TeamvsEl Seka El Hadid
- Aug 27, 2026Mega SportvsEl Entag EL Harby
- Aug 28, 2026AL Nasr SCvsHaras El Hodood
- Aug 28, 2026ItesalatvsIsmaily SC
- Aug 28, 2026Baladiyyat Al MehallavsEl Dakhleya