Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Kahraba Ismailia: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)El Mahalla Stadium, El-Mahalla El-Kubra
The Footlab model makes Kahraba Ismailia the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Kahraba Ismailia?
Kahraba Ismailia starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,754 vs 1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Kahraba Ismailia have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | El Mansura(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | El Mansura(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | El Dakhleya(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | La Viena FC(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 29, 2026 | Masr(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | El Mokawloon(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | El Gouna FC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kahraba Ismailia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2025 | Kahraba Ismailia 1-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | Second League |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 2-2 Kahraba Ismailia | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Kahraba Ismailia vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla on May 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kahraba Ismailia score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Kahraba Ismailia | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla sit 14th in Second League (0 points from 1 matches) and Kahraba Ismailia sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kahraba Ismailia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Kahraba Ismailia?
- The Footlab model makes Kahraba Ismailia the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla.
- Where and when is Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Kahraba Ismailia played?
- Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Kahraba Ismailia is played on September 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at El Mahalla Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.