El Dakhleya vs Tersana: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Al-Shorta Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes Tersana the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for El Dakhleya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Dakhleya vs Tersana?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate El Dakhleya (1,599) and Tersana (1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Dakhleya have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Tersana have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mega Sport(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Proxy(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Aswan Sc(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | El Seka El Hadid(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 El Dakhleya win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tersana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | El Dakhleya 0-0 Tersana | Second League |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Tersana 1-0 El Dakhleya | Second League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | El Dakhleya 1-2 Tersana | Second League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Tersana 0-1 El Dakhleya | Second League |
| May 20, 2022 | Tersana 0-1 El Dakhleya | Second League - Group B |
| Dec 31, 2021 | El Dakhleya 1-0 Tersana | Second League - Group B |
Last archived meeting: El Dakhleya vs Tersana on Jan 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
El Dakhleya score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tersana score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Dakhleya | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Tersana | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Dakhleya sit 13th in Second League (1 points from 1 matches) and Tersana sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tersana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | El Dakhleya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Dakhleya vs Tersana?
- The Footlab model makes Tersana the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for El Dakhleya.
- Where and when is El Dakhleya vs Tersana played?
- El Dakhleya vs Tersana is played on September 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Al-Shorta Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.