Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Tersana: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 18, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)El Mahalla Stadium, El-Mahalla El-Kubra
The Footlab model makes Baladiyyat Al Mehalla the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Tersana. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Tersana?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Baladiyyat Al Mehalla (1,628) and Tersana (1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Tersana have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | El Mansura(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | El Mansura(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | El Dakhleya(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | El Seka El Hadid(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tersana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-0 Tersana | Second League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Tersana 3-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | Second League |
| May 24, 2025 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0-1 Tersana | Second League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Tersana 3-3 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Tersana on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tersana score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Tersana | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla sit 14th in Second League (0 points from 1 matches) and Tersana sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tersana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Tersana?
- The Footlab model makes Baladiyyat Al Mehalla the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Tersana.
- Where and when is Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Tersana played?
- Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Tersana is played on February 18, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at El Mahalla Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.