Tersana vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Mit Okba Stadium, Giza
The Footlab model makes Tersana the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tersana vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Tersana (1,677) and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tersana have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | El Seka El Hadid(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | El Mansura(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | El Mansura(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | El Dakhleya(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Tersana win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-0 Tersana | Second League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Tersana 3-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | Second League |
| May 24, 2025 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0-1 Tersana | Second League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Tersana 3-3 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Tersana on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tersana score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Baladiyyat Al Mehalla score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tersana | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tersana sit 6th in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tersana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tersana vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
- The Footlab model makes Tersana the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla.
- Where and when is Tersana vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla played?
- Tersana vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla is played on September 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Mit Okba Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.