Match

Balagne vs Montpellier: prediction and stats

Coupe de France1/128-finalsKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jacques Ambroggi, L'Île-Rousse

BalagneMontpellier

The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Balagne. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Balagne vs Montpellier?

Montpellier starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (2,008 vs 1,731).

8%14%78%
Balagne winDrawMontpellier win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Balagne vs Montpellier

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Balagne

4-3-3
  1. 11K. Gannoun
  2. 29Mohamed Fernandez
  3. 8D. Sarr
  1. 27R. Coët
  2. 25S. Siby
  3. 20B. Sigrist
  1. 17Julien Chevalier
  2. 3J. Renon
  3. 5A. Hauguel
  4. 12G. Coelho
  1. 30G. Agbolossou

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
  1. 11M. Camara
  1. 18N. Pays
  2. 9Lacine Megnan-Pave
  3. 44T. Chennahi
  4. 27D. Meddah
  5. 5F. Tardieu
  1. 15J. Laporte
  2. 3Naoufel El Hannach
  3. 6Y. Mouanga
  4. 28Y. Zouaoui
  1. 31S. Ngapandouetnbu

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:50 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balagne have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Montpellier have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Balagne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Lille II(away)0-3National 3 - Group E
May 9, 2026Croix Football IC(home)0-1National 3 - Group E
Apr 25, 2026Gazelec FC Ajaccio(away)1-1National 3 - Group E
Apr 18, 2026Le Pays du Valois(home)3-1National 3 - Group E
Apr 12, 2026Metz II(away)1-2National 3 - Group E
Montpellier
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Annecy(away)3-0Ligue 2
Oct 26, 2026RED Star FC 93(home)2-1Ligue 2
Oct 19, 2026Rodez(away)3-0Ligue 2
Oct 9, 2026Grenoble(home)2-0Ligue 2
Sep 18, 2026Reims(away)1-1Ligue 2

How many goals should we expect?

Balagne score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Montpellier score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Balagne1.41.165/157/15
Montpellier1.90.987/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Balagne vs Montpellier?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Balagne vs Montpellier?
The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for Balagne.
Where and when is Balagne vs Montpellier played?
Balagne vs Montpellier is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jacques Ambroggi, in the Coupe de France.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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