Laval vs Montpellier: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval
The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Laval. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montpellier wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Laval vs Montpellier?
Montpellier starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,804).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Laval vs Montpellier
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Laval
4-3-1-2- 28A. Kanté
- 20E. Clavreul
- 6S. Sanna
- 31M. Houdayer
- 22J. Gaudin
- 14C. Mandouki
- 18A. Lô
- 23E. Mouton
- 24S. Bane
- 3W. Bianda
- 1M. Hautbois
Montpellier
4-2-3-1- 11M. Camara
- 18N. Pays
- 19N. Mukiele
- 5F. Tardieu
- 44T. Chennahi
- 40N. Vidal-Cartoux
- 15J. Laporte
- 17T. Sainte-Luce
- 27D. Meddah
- 58A. Sissoko
- 31S. Ngapandouetnbu
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Laval have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Montpellier have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | PAU(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sochaux(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PAU(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Laval wins, 0 draws, 3 Montpellier wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Montpellier 2-0 Laval | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Laval 0-1 Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 25, 2016 | Laval 0-2 Montpellier | Coupe de la Ligue |
How many goals should we expect?
Laval score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laval | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Montpellier | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Laval sit 18th in Ligue 2 (5 points from 8 matches) and Montpellier sit 3rd (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 18 | Laval | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 5 |
A question about Laval vs Montpellier?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Laval vs Montpellier?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montpellier the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Laval.
- Where and when is Laval vs Montpellier played?
- Laval vs Montpellier is played on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Francis Le Basser, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.