Bali United vs PSS Sleman: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, Gianyar
The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for PSS Sleman. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bali United vs PSS Sleman?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Bali United (1,775) and PSS Sleman (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bali United have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; PSS Sleman have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Dewa United(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 4-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 2-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Garudayaksa(home) | 2-2 | Liga 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | PSIS Semarang(home) | 3-0 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Persiba Balikpapan(away) | 1-1 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Persiku Kudus(home) | 2-1 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Barito Putera(away) | 0-1 | Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bali United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 PSS Sleman win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | PSS Sleman 1-2 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Bali United 0-0 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| Nov 3, 2023 | PSS Sleman 0-1 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Bali United 0-1 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| Apr 7, 2023 | PSS Sleman 2-0 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Dec 19, 2022 | Bali United 1-2 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: PSS Sleman vs Bali United on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; PSS Sleman score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bali United | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| PSS Sleman | 1.8 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bali United vs PSS Sleman?
- The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for PSS Sleman.
- Where and when is Bali United vs PSS Sleman played?
- Bali United vs PSS Sleman is played on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.