Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ferney Park, Ballinamallard
The Footlab model makes Ballinamallard United the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Armagh City. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City?
Ballinamallard United starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,211 vs 1,074).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ballinamallard United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Armagh City have 0, 6 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Institute(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Institute(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ballinamallard United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Armagh City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Ballinamallard United 6-0 Armagh City | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Armagh City 0-0 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Armagh City 0-3 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Ballinamallard United 3-1 Armagh City | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Armagh City 0-1 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Ballinamallard United 2-0 Armagh City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ballinamallard United score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Armagh City score 0.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballinamallard United | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Armagh City | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ballinamallard United sit 9th in Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Armagh City sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ballinamallard United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 52 | 34 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 60 | 38 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 100 | 17 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 30 | 112 | 19 |
| 15 | Armagh City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City?
- The Footlab model makes Ballinamallard United the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Armagh City.
- Where and when is Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City played?
- Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ferney Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.