Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Iveagh Park, Rathfriland
The Footlab AI model makes Rathfriland the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Strabane Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rathfriland wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Rathfriland (1,357) and Strabane Athletic (1,292).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rathfriland
4-3-3- RRuairi Fitzpatrick
- EE. Rooney
- DD. Tate
- AAndrew Kilmartin
- 23J. Corbett
- MMaurice Jack Chambers
- JJ. Barbour
- DDaniel Devlin
- JJ. Cooper
- BB. Johnston
- SS. Maguire
Strabane Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Strabane Athletic lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rathfriland have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Strabane Athletic have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ards(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ards(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Rathfriland win, 0 draws, 2 Strabane Athletic wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Rathfriland 2-5 Strabane Athletic | Premier Intermediate League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Strabane Athletic 0-3 Rathfriland | Premier Intermediate League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Strabane Athletic 2-1 Rathfriland | Irish Cup |
Last archived meeting: Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rathfriland score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Strabane Athletic score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rathfriland | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Strabane Athletic | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rathfriland sit 15th in Championship (6 points from 10 matches) and Strabane Athletic sit 14th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
| 15 | Rathfriland | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rathfriland the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Strabane Athletic.
- Where and when is Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic played?
- Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Iveagh Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.