Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Iveagh Park, Rathfriland
The Footlab model makes Rathfriland the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Strabane Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Rathfriland (1,307) and Strabane Athletic (1,337).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rathfriland have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Strabane Athletic have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Loughgall(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| May 1, 2026 | Knockbreda(away) | 4-0 | Premier Intermediate League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Institute(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Rathfriland win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Strabane Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Rathfriland 2-5 Strabane Athletic | Premier Intermediate League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Strabane Athletic 0-3 Rathfriland | Premier Intermediate League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Strabane Athletic 2-1 Rathfriland | Irish Cup |
Last archived meeting: Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rathfriland score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Strabane Athletic score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rathfriland | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Strabane Athletic | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rathfriland sit 16th in Championship (0 points from 4 matches) and Strabane Athletic sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Rathfriland | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Rathfriland the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Strabane Athletic.
- Where and when is Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic played?
- Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Iveagh Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.