Ballymena United vs Bangor: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Ballymena
The Footlab model makes Ballymena United the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Bangor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ballymena United vs Bangor?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Ballymena United (1,482) and Bangor (1,402).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ballymena United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bangor have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dergview(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Ballymena United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bangor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Ballymena United 0-0 Bangor | Premiership |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Bangor 2-0 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Bangor 2-3 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Ballymena United 4-0 Bangor | Premiership |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Ballymena United 1-1 Bangor | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Ballymena United vs Bangor on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ballymena United score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bangor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballymena United | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Bangor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ballymena United sit 8th in Premiership (3 points from 3 matches) and Bangor sit 12th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ballymena United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Bangor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ballymena United vs Bangor?
- The Footlab model makes Ballymena United the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Bangor.
- Where and when is Ballymena United vs Bangor played?
- Ballymena United vs Bangor is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.