Ballymena United vs Bangor: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Ballymena
The Footlab AI model makes Ballymena United the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Bangor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ballymena United wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ballymena United vs Bangor?
Ballymena United starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,554 vs 1,439).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ballymena United vs Bangor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ballymena United
4-3-3- 9Igor Rutkowski
- 7C. McKee
- 22S. Edogun
- 6F. Sule
- 8J. Archer
- 13F. Thorndike
- 2D. Toure
- 15D. McCallion
- 26K. Lyons-Foster
- 3M. Glynn
- 1D. Walsh
Bangor
4-3-3- 8T. Mulvenna
- 9B. Arthurs
- 20L. McRoberts
- 7L. Hassin
- 6L. Harrison
- 18O. Devlin
- 4L. Francis
- 29Iestyn Tomos Hughes
- 3R. Neale
- 12S. McCullough
- 1G. Deane
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ballymena United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bangor have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 3-1 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ballymena United wins, 3 draws, 1 Bangor win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bangor 2-2 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Ballymena United 0-0 Bangor | Premiership |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Bangor 2-0 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Bangor 2-3 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Ballymena United 4-0 Bangor | Premiership |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Ballymena United 1-1 Bangor | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Bangor vs Ballymena United on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ballymena United score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bangor score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballymena United | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Bangor | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ballymena United sit 6th in Premiership (15 points from 11 matches) and Bangor sit 11th (6 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ballymena United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 11 | Bangor | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 6 |
A question about Ballymena United vs Bangor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ballymena United vs Bangor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ballymena United the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Bangor.
- Where and when is Ballymena United vs Bangor played?
- Ballymena United vs Bangor is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.