Portadown vs Larne: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Shamrock Park, Portadown
The Footlab AI model makes Larne the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Portadown. The most likely score is 1-1. If Larne wins, the most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,665 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portadown vs Larne?
Larne is a heavy favourite: 1,812 Elo points against 1,495, a 317-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Portadown vs Larne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Portadown
4-3-3- 7L. Chapman
- 26G. Thompson
- 19J. Teelan
- 28B. Kennedy
- 34Finn Flanagan
- 10E. Fyfe
- 23M. Hewitt
- 3M. Carson
- 2D. Isamala
- 4B. Altintop
- 1A. McCarey
Larne
4-3-3- 9P. O'Neill
- 45M. Gibson
- 19K. O'Hara
- 26D. Bent
- 21L. Millar
- 47J. Simpson
- 4A. Donnelly
- 23T. Cosgrove
- 3M. Ridley
- 11S. Graham
- 1R. Ferguson
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 03:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portadown have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Larne have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bangor(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 5-2 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Portadown wins, 1 draw, 3 Larne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portadown 0-2 Larne | Premiership |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Portadown 2-1 Larne | Premiership |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Larne 3-0 Portadown | Premiership |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Larne 4-0 Portadown | Premiership |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Portadown 2-0 Larne | Premiership |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Larne 1-1 Portadown | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Portadown score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Larne score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portadown | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Larne | 1.5 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portadown sit 11th in Premiership (8 points from 13 matches) and Larne sit 3rd (22 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Larne | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
| 11 | Portadown | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 8 |
A question about Portadown vs Larne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portadown vs Larne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Larne the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Portadown.
- Where and when is Portadown vs Larne played?
- Portadown vs Larne is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Shamrock Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.