Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 32Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Ballymena
The Footlab model makes Ballymena United the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Dungannon Swifts. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Ballymena United (1,482) and Dungannon Swifts (1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ballymena United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Dungannon Swifts have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ballymena United win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Dungannon Swifts win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Ballymena United 1-2 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Ballymena United 0-2 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Dungannon Swifts 0-3 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Ballymena United 0-1 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Dungannon Swifts 1-0 Ballymena United | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ballymena United score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dungannon Swifts score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballymena United | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Dungannon Swifts | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ballymena United sit 8th in Premiership (3 points from 3 matches) and Dungannon Swifts sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dungannon Swifts | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts?
- The Footlab model makes Ballymena United the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Dungannon Swifts.
- Where and when is Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts played?
- Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.