Linfield vs Portadown: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 32Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Windsor Park, Belfast
The Footlab AI model makes Linfield the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Portadown. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Linfield vs Portadown?
Linfield starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,495).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Linfield vs Portadown
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Linfield
4-3-3- 8K. McClean
- 30Kobei Moore
- 16D. Wells
- 10A. Frizzell
- 26I. Baird
- 14K. Nelson
- 15B. Hall
- 27E. McGee
- 34Dane Neil McCullough
- 33D. Leahy
- 1C. Johns
Portadown
4-3-3- 7L. Chapman
- 26G. Thompson
- 19J. Teelan
- 28B. Kennedy
- 34Finn Flanagan
- 10E. Fyfe
- 23M. Hewitt
- 3M. Carson
- 2D. Isamala
- 4B. Altintop
- 1A. McCarey
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Linfield have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Portadown have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 2-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Coleraine FC(away) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ballymena United(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bangor(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Linfield wins, 1 draw, 1 Portadown win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Portadown 1-1 Linfield | Premiership |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Linfield 3-1 Portadown | Premiership |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Portadown 2-0 Linfield | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Linfield 3-0 Portadown | Premiership |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Portadown 1-3 Linfield | Premiership |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Linfield 2-1 Portadown | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Portadown vs Linfield on Sep 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Linfield score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Portadown score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linfield | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Portadown | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Linfield sit 2nd in Premiership (26 points from 11 matches) and Portadown sit 12th (5 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Linfield | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 26 |
| 12 | Portadown | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 5 |
A question about Linfield vs Portadown?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Linfield vs Portadown?
- The Footlab AI model makes Linfield the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Portadown.
- Where and when is Linfield vs Portadown played?
- Linfield vs Portadown is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Windsor Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.