Ballymena United vs Linfield: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Ballymena
The Footlab AI model makes Linfield the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Ballymena United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Linfield wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ballymena United vs Linfield?
Linfield starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (1,746 vs 1,548).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ballymena United vs Linfield
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ballymena United
4-3-3- 9Igor Rutkowski
- 7C. McKee
- 22S. Edogun
- 6F. Sule
- 8J. Archer
- 13F. Thorndike
- 2D. Toure
- 15D. McCallion
- 26K. Lyons-Foster
- 3M. Glynn
- 1D. Walsh
Linfield
4-3-3- 8K. McClean
- 30Kobei Moore
- 16D. Wells
- 10A. Frizzell
- 26I. Baird
- 14K. Nelson
- 15B. Hall
- 27E. McGee
- 34Dane Neil McCullough
- 33D. Leahy
- 1C. Johns
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ballymena United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Linfield have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 2-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Coleraine FC(away) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ballymena United wins, 1 draw, 3 Linfield wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linfield 0-3 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Linfield 2-1 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Linfield 1-0 Ballymena United | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Linfield 2-1 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Ballymena United 1-0 Linfield | Premiership |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Ballymena United 2-2 Linfield | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Linfield vs Ballymena United on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ballymena United score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Linfield score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballymena United | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Linfield | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ballymena United sit 6th in Premiership (15 points from 11 matches) and Linfield sit 2nd (26 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Linfield | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Ballymena United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
A question about Ballymena United vs Linfield?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ballymena United vs Linfield?
- The Footlab AI model makes Linfield the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Ballymena United.
- Where and when is Ballymena United vs Linfield played?
- Ballymena United vs Linfield is played on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.