Ballymena United vs Limavady United: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Ballymena
The Footlab model makes Ballymena United the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Limavady United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ballymena United vs Limavady United?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Ballymena United (1,482) and Limavady United (1,485).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ballymena United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Limavady United have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Glentoran(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Institute(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ballymena United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Limavady United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2024 | Limavady United 3-2 Ballymena United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Limavady United 1-2 Ballymena United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Limavady United 1-1 Ballymena United | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Limavady United vs Ballymena United on Jul 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Ballymena United score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Limavady United score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballymena United | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Limavady United | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ballymena United sit 8th in Premiership (3 points from 3 matches) and Limavady United sit 11th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ballymena United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Limavady United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ballymena United vs Limavady United?
- The Footlab model makes Ballymena United the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Limavady United.
- Where and when is Ballymena United vs Limavady United played?
- Ballymena United vs Limavady United is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.