Baltika vs Mordovia Saransk: result 1-2 and analysis
First LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 8, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
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What was the result of Baltika vs Mordovia Saransk?
Mordovia Saransk won 1-2 on October 8, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 2′Artur SarkisovMordovia Saransk
- 19′97780Baltika (pen.)
- 86′Daniil ChalovMordovia Saransk
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baltika have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Mordovia Saransk have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2016 | Sibir(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2016 | Khimki(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Tambov(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 3, 2016 | FC Tosno(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2016 | Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2016 | Enisey(away) | 0-4 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Tyumen(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 3, 2016 | FK Sokol Saratov(home) | 0-0 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Baltika score 0.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mordovia Saransk score 0.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | 0.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Mordovia Saransk | 0.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy