FC Orenburg vs Baltika: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Gazovik, Rostoshi
The Footlab AI model makes FC Orenburg the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Baltika. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Orenburg wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,044 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Orenburg vs Baltika?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate FC Orenburg (1,871) and Baltika (1,954).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Orenburg vs Baltika
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Orenburg
4-2-3-1- 30G. Guzina
- 20D. Rybchinskiy
- 78R. Kul
- 8D. Puebla
- 57E. Bolotov
- 10J. Thompson
- 26E. Tsenov
- 5A. Tataev
- 24M. Sivis
- 6J. Palacios
- 1B. Ovsyannikov
Baltika
5-3-2- 91B. Gil
- 69E. Golenkov
- 10I. Petrov
- 7K. Shiltsov
- 26I. Belikov
- 22M. Beveev
- 24L. Mouyokolo
- 4N. Gassama
- 21E. Anderson
- 77E. Ćivić
- 1E. Latyshonok
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 10:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Orenburg have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Baltika have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Rubin(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Orenburg wins, 2 draws, 2 Baltika wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | FC Orenburg 0-0 Baltika | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Baltika 3-2 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Mar 10, 2024 | FC Orenburg 1-0 Baltika | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Baltika 1-0 FC Orenburg | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2021 | FC Orenburg 2-1 Baltika | First League |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Baltika 1-1 FC Orenburg | First League |
Last archived meeting: FC Orenburg vs Baltika on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Orenburg score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Baltika score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Baltika | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Orenburg sit 6th in Premier League (13 points from 11 matches) and Baltika sit 7th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | Baltika | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 13 |
A question about FC Orenburg vs Baltika?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Orenburg vs Baltika?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Orenburg the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Baltika.
- Where and when is FC Orenburg vs Baltika played?
- FC Orenburg vs Baltika is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gazovik, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.