Match

Balzan FC vs Mosta: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueFirst Stage - Play Out - 13Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun

Balzan FCMosta

The Footlab AI model makes Balzan FC the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Mosta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Balzan FC wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Balzan FC vs Mosta?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Balzan FC (1,456) and Mosta (1,413).

44%28%28%
Balzan FC winDrawMosta win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Balzan FC vs Mosta

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Balzan FC

4-3-3
  1. 14O. Awosanya
  2. 18Eder
  3. 11Macula
  1. 17S. Guehi
  2. 23S. Cipriott
  3. 6J. Grech
  1. 2Léo Fernandes
  2. 5S. Arab
  3. 80N. Đorić
  4. 44N. Ignjatović
  1. 1D. Ciappara

Mosta

4-3-3
  1. 7Nevin Portelli
  2. 30N. Cross
  3. 13E. Ebere
  1. 66G. Acheampong
  2. 6N. Frendo
  3. 10Giancarlo
  1. 93Thiaguinho
  2. 11K. Zammit
  3. 4Emmanuel Ugwu
  4. 9P. Ohaka
  1. 22Akpan Udoh

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 06:56 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balzan FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Mosta have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Balzan FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Gzira United(away)3-0Premier League
Oct 31, 2026Hibernians(home)1-2Premier League
Oct 25, 2026Birkirkara(home)0-2Premier League
Oct 21, 2026Hamrun Spartans(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Zabbar St. Patrick(home)1-2Premier League
Mosta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Birzebbuga(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 31, 2026Zabbar St. Patrick(away)0-5Premier League
Oct 26, 2026Hibernians(home)2-2Premier League
Oct 21, 2026Valletta FC(home)0-2Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Floriana(away)3-3Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Balzan FC wins, 2 draws, 1 Mosta win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Mosta 2-1 Balzan FCPremier League
Jan 17, 2025Balzan FC 3-2 MostaPremier League
Nov 6, 2024Mosta 2-2 Balzan FCPremier League
Apr 28, 2024Balzan FC 0-0 MostaPremier League
Jan 7, 2024Mosta 0-2 Balzan FCPremier League
Apr 10, 2023Mosta 2-3 Balzan FCPremier League

Last archived meeting: Mosta vs Balzan FC on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Balzan FC score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mosta score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Balzan FC1.51.159/158/15
Mosta1.11.548/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Balzan FC sit 10th in Premier League (14 points from 12 matches) and Mosta sit 9th (15 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Mosta12363152015
10Balzan FC12354161414

A question about Balzan FC vs Mosta?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Balzan FC vs Mosta?
The Footlab AI model makes Balzan FC the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Mosta.
Where and when is Balzan FC vs Mosta played?
Balzan FC vs Mosta is played on November 20, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Victor Tedesco Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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