Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueFirst Stage - Play Out - 13Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)St. Patrick Football Complex, Ħaż-Żabbar
The Footlab AI model makes Zabbar St. Patrick the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Gzira United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zabbar St. Patrick wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,703 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United?
On Elo ratings, Zabbar St. Patrick has 1,460 points and Gzira United 1,407.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zabbar St. Patrick
4-3-3- 29Vinícius Kanu
- 15M. Jovicic
- 33A. Agyeman
- 10Joao Mafra
- 70K. Fenech
- 71T. Melillo
- 2K. Bručić
- 22Z. Leonardi
- 21S. Jovančić
- 16J. Micallef
- 30P. Mohorovic
Gzira United
4-3-3- 8B. Borg
- 2A. Pllana
- 45M. Ange
- 6A. Borg
- 7Luisinho
- 11D. Farrugia
- 3Gabriel Mentz
- 5D. Abela
- 27F. Maio
- 44Francisco Saldanha
- 33E. Colombo
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 07:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zabbar St. Patrick have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gzira United have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mosta(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Floriana(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Balzan FC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Balzan FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Hibernians(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hamrun Spartans(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Zabbar St. Patrick wins, 2 draws, 1 Gzira United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Gzira United 0-0 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Gzira United 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Gzira United 0-2 Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Zabbar St. Patrick 2-0 Gzira United | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Gzira United | Premier League |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Zabbar St. Patrick 3-0 Gzira United | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Gzira United vs Zabbar St. Patrick on Sep 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zabbar St. Patrick score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gzira United score 0.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zabbar St. Patrick | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Gzira United | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zabbar St. Patrick sit 8th in Premier League (15 points from 12 matches) and Gzira United sit 12th (5 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 15 |
| 12 | Gzira United | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 5 |
A question about Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zabbar St. Patrick the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Gzira United.
- Where and when is Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United played?
- Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United is played on November 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at St. Patrick Football Complex, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.