Bangor City vs Caernarfon Town: result 1-2 and analysis
Welsh Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 26, 2019 at 07:30 PM (UTC)The EUROGOLD Stadium, Bangor
Full time
What was the result of Bangor City vs Caernarfon Town?
Caernarfon Town won 1-2 on January 26, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 27′Jamie BreeseCaernarfon Town
- 45′J. PhillipsBangor City
- 60′G. EdwardsCaernarfon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bangor City have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2018 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 4-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Cefn Albion(home) | 6-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 4-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Apr 27, 2018 | Bala Town(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2018 | Cefn Druids AFC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | Bala Town(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2019 | Llandudno(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 29, 2018 | Llandudno(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2018 | Barry Town(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bangor City score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor City | 2.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy