Baník Kalinovo vs Sokol Medzibrod: prediction and stats
3. liga - CenterCentral - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Štadión Kalinovo, Kalinovo
The Footlab model makes Baník Kalinovo the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Sokol Medzibrod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Kalinovo vs Sokol Medzibrod?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Baník Kalinovo (1,440) and Sokol Medzibrod (1,438).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Kalinovo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sokol Medzibrod have 3, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fiľakovo(home) | 0-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Brezno(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(away) | 1-2 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dolný Kubín(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 30, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Podkonice(away) | 0-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Námestovo(home) | 2-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oravské Veselé(away) | 1-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Fiľakovo(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Vinica(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Kalinovo score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sokol Medzibrod score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Kalinovo | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Sokol Medzibrod | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/14 | 9/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Baník Kalinovo | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 43 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Kalinovo vs Sokol Medzibrod?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Kalinovo the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Sokol Medzibrod.
- Where and when is Baník Kalinovo vs Sokol Medzibrod played?
- Baník Kalinovo vs Sokol Medzibrod is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Štadión Kalinovo, in the 3. liga - Center.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.