Fomat Martin vs Novohrad Lučenec: prediction and stats
3. liga - CenterCentral - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Športový park Pltníky, Martin-Záturčie
The Footlab model makes Fomat Martin the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Novohrad Lučenec. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fomat Martin vs Novohrad Lučenec?
Fomat Martin starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,610 vs 1,506).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fomat Martin have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Novohrad Lučenec have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(home) | 5-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Spartak Kvašov(away) | 5-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dolný Kubín(away) | 3-2 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kysucké Nové Mesto(home) | 7-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Baník Prievidza(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Čadca(home) | 3-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fiľakovo(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(home) | 1-2 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 30, 2026 | Fiľakovo(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 23, 2026 | Námestovo(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - Center |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Fomat Martin win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Novohrad Lučenec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Novohrad Lučenec 1-1 Fomat Martin | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Fomat Martin 3-2 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - Center |
| May 28, 2022 | Novohrad Lučenec 2-1 Fomat Martin | 3. liga - Center |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Fomat Martin 4-0 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 1, 2020 | Fomat Martin 4-2 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - Center |
Last archived meeting: Novohrad Lučenec vs Fomat Martin on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fomat Martin score 2.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Novohrad Lučenec score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fomat Martin | 2.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Novohrad Lučenec | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fomat Martin sit 6th in 3. liga - Center (40 points from 26 matches) and Novohrad Lučenec sit 4th (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Novohrad Lučenec | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 43 |
| 6 | Fomat Martin | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fomat Martin vs Novohrad Lučenec?
- The Footlab model makes Fomat Martin the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Novohrad Lučenec.
- Where and when is Fomat Martin vs Novohrad Lučenec played?
- Fomat Martin vs Novohrad Lučenec is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Športový park Pltníky, in the 3. liga - Center.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.