Baník Ostrava II vs Třinec: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 20Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bazaly, Slezská Ostrava
The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava II the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Třinec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Ostrava II vs Třinec?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Baník Ostrava II (1,869) and Třinec (1,946).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Ostrava II have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Třinec have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(home) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(away) | 4-1 | FNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Táborsko(home) | 1-2 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kladno(away) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Vlašim(home) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Opava(away) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(home) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bospor Bohumín(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slavia Praha II(away) | 2-3 | FNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 0-0 | FNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Baník Ostrava II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Třinec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | Baník Ostrava II 2-0 Třinec | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Třinec 2-3 Baník Ostrava II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Baník Ostrava II 5-2 Třinec | 3. liga - MSFL |
Last archived meeting: Baník Ostrava II vs Třinec on Nov 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Ostrava II score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Třinec score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Ostrava II | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Třinec | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baník Ostrava II | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Ostrava II vs Třinec?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava II the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Třinec.
- Where and when is Baník Ostrava II vs Třinec played?
- Baník Ostrava II vs Třinec is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bazaly, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.