Baník Ostrava vs FK Jablonec: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, Ostrava
The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for FK Jablonec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs FK Jablonec?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Baník Ostrava (1,918) and FK Jablonec (2,012).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Ostrava have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; FK Jablonec have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 0-4 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Baník Ostrava win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 FK Jablonec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | FK Jablonec 4-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 0-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 1-2 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Apr 9, 2025 | FK Jablonec 0-1 Baník Ostrava | Cup |
| Nov 23, 2024 | FK Jablonec 3-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Baník Ostrava 1-0 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Ostrava score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Ostrava | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baník Ostrava sit 10th in Czech Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and FK Jablonec sit 6th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Baník Ostrava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Ostrava vs FK Jablonec?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for FK Jablonec.
- Where and when is Baník Ostrava vs FK Jablonec played?
- Baník Ostrava vs FK Jablonec is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.