Baník Ostrava vs FK Jablonec: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, Ostrava
The Footlab AI model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Baník Ostrava. The most likely score is 1-1. If FK Jablonec wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,073 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs FK Jablonec?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Baník Ostrava (1,941) and FK Jablonec (2,006).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Baník Ostrava vs FK Jablonec
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Baník Ostrava
3-4-3- 28F. Kubala
- 22V. Skrkon
- 21M. Kohút
- 5J. Boula
- 34A. Bewene
- 18D. Planka
- 3Rhodri Smith
- 83R. Nogha
- 42J. Míček
- 17M. Frydrych
- 1V. Budinský
FK Jablonec
4-2-3-1- 9A. Růsek
- 13R. Sedláček
- 36G. Kuol
- 25S. Nebyla
- 6N. Okeke
- 19J. Chramosta
- 18M. Cedidla
- 7V. Tchanturishvili
- 15D. Pavlović
- 4N. Tekijaški
- 99K. Mihelak
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 06:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Ostrava have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; FK Jablonec have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(away) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Plzen(home) | 0-4 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(away) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Riga(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 0-5 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Baník Ostrava win, 0 draws, 5 FK Jablonec wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | FK Jablonec 3-0 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Apr 11, 2026 | FK Jablonec 4-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 0-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 1-2 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Apr 9, 2025 | FK Jablonec 0-1 Baník Ostrava | Cup |
| Nov 23, 2024 | FK Jablonec 3-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava on Sep 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Ostrava score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FK Jablonec score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Ostrava | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| FK Jablonec | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baník Ostrava sit 13th in Czech Liga (14 points from 13 matches) and FK Jablonec sit 7th (20 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 20 |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 14 |
A question about Baník Ostrava vs FK Jablonec?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Ostrava vs FK Jablonec?
- The Footlab AI model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Baník Ostrava.
- Where and when is Baník Ostrava vs FK Jablonec played?
- Baník Ostrava vs FK Jablonec is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.