Plzen vs Hradec Králové: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Doosan Aréna, Plzeň
The Footlab model makes Plzen the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hradec Králové. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plzen vs Hradec Králové?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Plzen (2,054) and Hradec Králové (2,049).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plzen have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Hradec Králové have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zlin(home) | 3-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 5-5 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(away) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Plzen win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Hradec Králové win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Plzen 3-1 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Hradec Králové 0-3 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Plzen 3-3 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Hradec Králové 0-1 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Plzen 1-0 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Hradec Králové 1-1 Plzen | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Plzen vs Hradec Králové on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Plzen score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hradec Králové score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plzen | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Hradec Králové | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plzen sit 12th in Czech Liga (5 points from 4 matches) and Hradec Králové sit 8th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hradec Králové | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plzen vs Hradec Králové?
- The Footlab model makes Plzen the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hradec Králové.
- Where and when is Plzen vs Hradec Králové played?
- Plzen vs Hradec Králové is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Doosan Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.