Baník Ostrava vs Teplice: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, Ostrava
The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Teplice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Teplice?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Baník Ostrava (1,917) and Teplice (1,931).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Ostrava have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Teplice have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 0-4 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-4 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Plzen(home) | 5-5 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Baník Ostrava win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Teplice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Teplice 2-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Teplice 1-0 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 1-1 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 2-0 Teplice | Czech Liga |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Teplice 2-3 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Baník Ostrava 4-1 Teplice | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Teplice vs Baník Ostrava on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Ostrava score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Teplice score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Ostrava | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Teplice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baník Ostrava sit 10th in Czech Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and Teplice sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Teplice | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 10 | Baník Ostrava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Ostrava vs Teplice?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Teplice.
- Where and when is Baník Ostrava vs Teplice played?
- Baník Ostrava vs Teplice is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.