Baník Ostrava vs Hradec Králové: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, Ostrava
The Footlab model makes Hradec Králové the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Baník Ostrava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Hradec Králové?
Hradec Králové starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (2,050 vs 1,918).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Ostrava have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Hradec Králové have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 0-4 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(away) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Baník Ostrava win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hradec Králové win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové 2-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Hradec Králové 1-0 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Hradec Králové 0-0 Baník Ostrava | Cup |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 0-1 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Hradec Králové 0-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Baník Ostrava 1-0 Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Hradec Králové vs Baník Ostrava on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Ostrava score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hradec Králové score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Ostrava | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Hradec Králové | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baník Ostrava sit 10th in Czech Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and Hradec Králové sit 8th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hradec Králové | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Baník Ostrava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Ostrava vs Hradec Králové?
- The Footlab model makes Hradec Králové the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Baník Ostrava.
- Where and when is Baník Ostrava vs Hradec Králové played?
- Baník Ostrava vs Hradec Králové is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Městský stadion - Vítkovice Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.