Baník Prievidza vs Dunajská Lužná: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión Prievidza, Prievidza
The Footlab model makes Baník Prievidza the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Dunajská Lužná. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Prievidza vs Dunajská Lužná?
Baník Prievidza starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,583 vs 1,461).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Prievidza have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Dunajská Lužná have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 4-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MŠK Senec(home) | 1-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gabčíkovo(away) | 0-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Fomat Martin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Rača(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nové Zámky(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Šenkvice(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Veľké Ludince(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Spartak Myjava(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Rača(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Prievidza score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dunajská Lužná score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Prievidza | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Dunajská Lužná | 1.8 | 1.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Prievidza vs Dunajská Lužná?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Prievidza the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Dunajská Lužná.
- Where and when is Baník Prievidza vs Dunajská Lužná played?
- Baník Prievidza vs Dunajská Lužná is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión Prievidza, in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.