Trenčín II vs Nitra: prediction and stats
3. liga - WestWest - 9Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Nitra the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Trenčín II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trenčín II vs Nitra?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Trenčín II (1,564) and Nitra (1,483).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trenčín II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nitra have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Komárno II(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rača(away) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovan Duslo Šaľa(home) | 4-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nitra(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zlín II(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Myjava(away) | 5-1 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Dolné Krškany(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Častkovce(home) | 3-2 | 3. liga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Púchov(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trenčín II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Trenčín II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nitra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nitra 3-0 Trenčín II | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Trenčín II score 2.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nitra score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trenčín II | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Nitra | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trenčín II vs Nitra?
- The Footlab model makes Nitra the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for Trenčín II.
- Where and when is Trenčín II vs Nitra played?
- Trenčín II vs Nitra is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC), in the 3. liga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.