Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdam: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Bongerd, Barendrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Barendrecht the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for AFC Amsterdam. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barendrecht wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdam?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Barendrecht (1,878) and AFC Amsterdam (1,881).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barendrecht
4-3-3- 11A. Serghini
- 9B. Vugts
- 10E. Fortes
- 21O. Mrowicki
- 12C. Schop
- 24R. Ouali
- 7D. Monster
- 3Timo de Graaf
- 2J. Brand
- 15K. Rook
- 1B. van der Meer
AFC Amsterdam
5-3-2- 27D. Gouda
- 9F. van der Linden
- 11R. Fonseca
- 16S. de Mooij
- 18A. Bensabouh
- 40L. van der Graaf
- 20M. Elstak
- 55T. Letschert
- 5C. Claver
- 4S. Ederveen
- 1G. van Zetten
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barendrecht have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Amsterdam have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Almere City II(away) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | HHC(away) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Groene Ster(away) | 6-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 3-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | HHC(home) | 2-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Barendrecht win, 1 draw, 4 AFC Amsterdam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Barendrecht 2-0 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2025 | AFC Amsterdam 3-1 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Barendrecht 1-3 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 21, 2024 | AFC Amsterdam 2-2 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 13, 2019 | AFC Amsterdam 3-0 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Barendrecht 0-3 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdam on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barendrecht score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Amsterdam score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barendrecht | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| AFC Amsterdam | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barendrecht sit 5th in Tweede Divisie (14 points from 8 matches) and AFC Amsterdam sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Barendrecht | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 14 |
| 10 | AFC Amsterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barendrecht the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for AFC Amsterdam.
- Where and when is Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdam played?
- Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdam is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bongerd, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.