Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdam: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Bongerd, Barendrecht
The Footlab model makes Barendrecht the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for AFC Amsterdam. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdam?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Barendrecht (1,828) and AFC Amsterdam (1,876).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barendrecht have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; AFC Amsterdam have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | HHC(home) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 2-5 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 4-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kloetinge(home) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | HHC(home) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Barendrecht win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 AFC Amsterdam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Barendrecht 2-0 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2025 | AFC Amsterdam 3-1 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Barendrecht 1-3 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 21, 2024 | AFC Amsterdam 2-2 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Apr 13, 2019 | AFC Amsterdam 3-0 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Barendrecht 0-3 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdam on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barendrecht score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Amsterdam score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barendrecht | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| AFC Amsterdam | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barendrecht sit 11th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and AFC Amsterdam sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | AFC Amsterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Barendrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdam?
- The Footlab model makes Barendrecht the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 37% for AFC Amsterdam.
- Where and when is Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdam played?
- Barendrecht vs AFC Amsterdam is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bongerd, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.