Katwijk vs Ijsselmeervogels: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark de Krom, Katwijk
The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Ijsselmeervogels. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Katwijk vs Ijsselmeervogels?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Katwijk (1,903) and Ijsselmeervogels (1,865).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Katwijk have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ijsselmeervogels have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 4-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kozakken Boys(away) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | EVV(home) | 10-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 1-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Katwijk win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ijsselmeervogels win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels 2-3 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Katwijk 3-0 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Katwijk 4-0 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Ijsselmeervogels 0-0 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| May 24, 2022 | Katwijk 2-0 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Ijsselmeervogels 0-2 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Ijsselmeervogels vs Katwijk on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ijsselmeervogels score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katwijk | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Ijsselmeervogels | 2.3 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Katwijk sit 14th in Tweede Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and Ijsselmeervogels sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ijsselmeervogels | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Katwijk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Katwijk vs Ijsselmeervogels?
- The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Ijsselmeervogels.
- Where and when is Katwijk vs Ijsselmeervogels played?
- Katwijk vs Ijsselmeervogels is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark de Krom, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026RKAV VolendamvsSparta Rotterdam II
- Oct 17, 2026Koninklijke HFCvsKloetinge
- Oct 17, 2026Rijnsburgse BoysvsROHDA Raalte
- Oct 17, 2026SpakenburgvsQuick Boys
- Oct 17, 2026BarendrechtvsAFC Amsterdam
- Oct 17, 2026HoekvsKozakken Boys
- Oct 17, 2026HHCvsGVVV Veenendaal
- Oct 17, 2026Almere City IIvsDe Treffers