Barnsley vs Doncaster: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Oakwell, Barnsley, South Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Doncaster the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Doncaster wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnsley vs Doncaster?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Barnsley (1,784) and Doncaster (1,832).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barnsley vs Doncaster
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barnsley
4-2-3-1- 10B. Touré
- 8C. McGeehan
- 19R. Cleary
- 22Patrick Kelly
- 17Amani Richards
- 45Vimal Yoganathan
- 6C. O'Riordan
- 2A. Kay
- 5J. Shepherd
- 11T. Noslin
- 25Rogan Ravenhill
Doncaster
3-4-1-2- 9B. Hanlan
- 10A. May
- 22R. Gotts
- 4O. Bailey
- 8G. Broadbent
- 11L. Ayinde
- 19J. Thomas
- 12N. Byrne
- 27S. Grehan
- 6J. McGrath
- 1Tommy Simkin
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Doncaster have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 3-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 3-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Liverpool U21(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-3 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Barnsley wins, 2 draws, 2 Doncaster wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Doncaster 0-0 Barnsley | League One |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Barnsley 0-1 Doncaster | League One |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Doncaster 1-2 Barnsley | League One |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Barnsley 1-3 Doncaster | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 11, 2022 | Doncaster 2-4 Barnsley | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 15, 2019 | Doncaster 0-0 Barnsley | League One |
Last archived meeting: Doncaster vs Barnsley on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barnsley score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Doncaster score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Doncaster | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnsley sit 19th in League One (8 points from 8 matches) and Doncaster sit 16th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Doncaster | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Barnsley vs Doncaster?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnsley vs Doncaster?
- The Footlab AI model makes Doncaster the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Barnsley.
- Where and when is Barnsley vs Doncaster played?
- Barnsley vs Doncaster is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Oakwell, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.