Burton Albion vs Leicester: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Leicester the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Burton Albion. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leicester wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Leicester?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Burton Albion (1,756) and Leicester (1,825).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burton Albion vs Leicester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 10Mark O’Mahony
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 4K. Chauke
- 8C. Webster
- 41Sulyman Krubally
- 9G. Arubi
- 24Harvey Araujo
- 16C. Tilt
- 6T. Sibbick
- 20J. Sraha
- 34C. Addai
Leicester
3-4-2-1- 17E. Riis
- 33L. Thomas
- 37W. Alves
- 25L. Page
- 27K. Doyle
- 6J. Lundstram
- 36S. Braybrooke
- 16W. O'Hora
- 5C. Okoli
- 15H. Souttar
- 29A. McCarthy
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Leicester have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Luton(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 4-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Burton Albion win, 1 draw, 4 Leicester wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leicester 1-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Burton Albion 0-3 Leicester | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2023 | Burton Albion 0-2 Leicester | League Cup |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Burton Albion 0-0 Leicester | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 29, 2019 | Burton Albion 1-3 Leicester | League Cup |
| Jan 5, 2013 | Leicester 2-0 Burton Albion | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Leicester vs Burton Albion on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Leicester score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Leicester | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 15th in League One (17 points from 14 matches) and Leicester sit 10th (19 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 17 |
A question about Burton Albion vs Leicester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs Leicester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leicester the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Burton Albion.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs Leicester played?
- Burton Albion vs Leicester is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.