Burton Albion vs Leicester: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 35Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Leicester. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Leicester?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Burton Albion (1,798) and Leicester (1,837).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Leicester have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leicester(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Notts County(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Burton Albion win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Leicester win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leicester 1-2 Burton Albion | League One |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Burton Albion 0-3 Leicester | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2023 | Burton Albion 0-2 Leicester | League Cup |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Burton Albion 0-0 Leicester | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 29, 2019 | Burton Albion 1-3 Leicester | League Cup |
| Jan 5, 2013 | Leicester 2-0 Burton Albion | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Leicester vs Burton Albion on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Leicester score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Leicester | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 7th in League One (4 points from 2 matches) and Leicester sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Burton Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 18 | Leicester | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs Leicester?
- The Footlab model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Leicester.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs Leicester played?
- Burton Albion vs Leicester is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.