Barwell vs Evesham United: result 5-1 and analysis
FA Trophy1st Round Qualifying ReplaysKick-off on October 25, 2011 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Kirkby Road, Barwell, Leicestershire
Full time
What was the result of Barwell vs Evesham United?
Barwell won 5-1 on October 25, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Barwell have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Evesham United have 2, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2011 | Evesham United(away) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Stourbridge(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Stone Dominoes(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2011 | Barwell(home) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Stourbridge(away) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Eastwood Town(away) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Rocester(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Barwell wins, 1 draw, 0 Evesham United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2011 | Evesham United 2-2 Barwell | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Barwell on Oct 23, 2011
How many goals should we expect?
Barwell score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 3; Evesham United score 2.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barwell | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| Evesham United | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 1/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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