Evesham United vs Poole Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Poole Town the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Poole Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Evesham United vs Poole Town?
Poole Town starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,769).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Evesham United vs Poole Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Evesham United
Not enough data to predict the Evesham United lineup.
Poole Town
Not enough data to predict the Poole Town lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Poole Town have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Chippenham Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Evesham United wins, 2 draws, 1 Poole Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Poole Town 3-1 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Evesham United 1-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Poole Town 1-1 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Poole Town vs Evesham United on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Evesham United score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evesham United | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Poole Town | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Evesham United sit 13th in Non League Premier - Southern South (13 points from 11 matches) and Poole Town sit 1st (24 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 24 |
| 13 | Evesham United | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 13 |
A question about Evesham United vs Poole Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Poole Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poole Town the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Evesham United.
- Where and when is Evesham United vs Poole Town played?
- Evesham United vs Poole Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 5, 2026Frome TownvsYate Town
- Dec 5, 2026UxbridgevsPlymouth Parkway
- Dec 5, 2026Chertsey TownvsBracknell Town
- Dec 5, 2026SholingvsBasingstoke Town
- Dec 5, 2026Gosport BoroughvsBerkhamsted
- Dec 5, 2026Wimborne TownvsTaunton Town
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