Match

Evesham United vs Poole Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire

Evesham UnitedPoole Town

The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Evesham United vs Poole Town?

Poole Town starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,709).

Evesham United win28 %
Draw25 %
Poole Town win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Poole Town have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Evesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hanworth Villa(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chichester City(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Frome Town(home)0-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Bishop's Cleeve(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Poole Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Berkhamsted(away)3-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Basingstoke Town(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Sholing(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chichester City(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 14, 2026Eastleigh(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Evesham United win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Poole Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Evesham United 1-1 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Aug 23, 2025Poole Town 1-1 Evesham UnitedNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Poole Town on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Evesham United1.31.748/1510/15
Poole Town1.31.348/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Poole Town sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Poole Town4202566
12Evesham United42028106

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Poole Town?
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Evesham United.
Where and when is Evesham United vs Poole Town played?
Evesham United vs Poole Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Evesham United and Poole Town

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