Basel II vs Lugano II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob, Basel
The Footlab AI model makes Basel II the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Lugano II. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basel II vs Lugano II?
Basel II starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,589 vs 1,433).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Basel II vs Lugano II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Basel II
Not enough data to predict the Basel II lineup.
Lugano II
Not enough data to predict the Lugano II lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basel II have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Lugano II have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luzern II(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Young Boys II(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lugano II(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paradiso(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cham(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Basel II(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Basel II wins, 0 draws, 3 Lugano II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lugano II 3-0 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lugano II 4-2 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Basel II 3-2 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Basel II 0-2 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Lugano II 1-2 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 11, 2024 | Lugano II 2-4 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Lugano II vs Basel II on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basel II score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano II score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basel II | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Lugano II | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basel II sit 8th in 1. Liga Promotion (16 points from 11 matches) and Lugano II sit 15th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Basel II | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 16 |
| 15 | Lugano II | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 9 |
A question about Basel II vs Lugano II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basel II vs Lugano II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Basel II the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Lugano II.
- Where and when is Basel II vs Lugano II played?
- Basel II vs Lugano II is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.