Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Shkëndija Haraçinë: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Bashkimi, Kumanovo
The Footlab model makes Bashkimi Kumanovo the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Shkëndija Haraçinë. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Shkëndija Haraçinë?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Bashkimi Kumanovo (1,469) and Shkëndija Haraçinë (1,510).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bashkimi Kumanovo have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Shkëndija Haraçinë have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aresimi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 0-5 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sileks(away) | 0-6 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Pelister(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tikveš(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sileks(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelister(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Struga(away) | 0-3 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Bashkimi Kumanovo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Shkëndija Haraçinë win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Shkëndija Haraçinë 2-0 Bashkimi Kumanovo | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Bashkimi Kumanovo on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bashkimi Kumanovo score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Shkëndija Haraçinë score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bashkimi Kumanovo | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Shkëndija Haraçinë | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bashkimi Kumanovo sit 10th in First League (0 points from 4 matches) and Shkëndija Haraçinë sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shkëndija Haraçinë | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Bashkimi Kumanovo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Shkëndija Haraçinë?
- The Footlab model makes Bashkimi Kumanovo the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Shkëndija Haraçinë.
- Where and when is Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Shkëndija Haraçinë played?
- Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Shkëndija Haraçinë is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Bashkimi, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.