Bastia-Borgo vs Epinal: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 26Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Paul-Antoniotti, Borgo
The Footlab model makes Bastia-Borgo the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Epinal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bastia-Borgo vs Epinal?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Bastia-Borgo (1,713) and Epinal (1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bastia-Borgo have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Epinal have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | Colmar(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Feignies-Aulnoye(home) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dieppe(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Chantilly(home) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire(away) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 1, 2026 | Biesheim(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Bastia-Borgo win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Epinal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Bastia-Borgo 2-1 Epinal | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Epinal 1-2 Bastia-Borgo | National 2 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Bastia-Borgo vs Epinal on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bastia-Borgo score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Epinal score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia-Borgo | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Epinal | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bastia-Borgo sit 8th in National 2 - Group A (1 points from 1 matches) and Epinal sit 5th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Epinal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Bastia-Borgo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bastia-Borgo vs Epinal?
- The Footlab model makes Bastia-Borgo the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Epinal.
- Where and when is Bastia-Borgo vs Epinal played?
- Bastia-Borgo vs Epinal is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Paul-Antoniotti, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.