Epinal vs St Maur Lusitanos: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 27Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Colombière, Épinal
The Footlab model makes St Maur Lusitanos the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Epinal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Epinal vs St Maur Lusitanos?
St Maur Lusitanos starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Epinal have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; St Maur Lusitanos have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dieppe(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Chantilly(home) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire(away) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 1, 2026 | Biesheim(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Biesheim(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Saint-Priest(away) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Epinal win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 St Maur Lusitanos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2023 | Epinal 1-1 St Maur Lusitanos | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 20, 2022 | St Maur Lusitanos 3-2 Epinal | National 2 - Group B |
| Mar 19, 2022 | St Maur Lusitanos 2-2 Epinal | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Epinal 0-0 St Maur Lusitanos | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Epinal 0-2 St Maur Lusitanos | National 2 - Group B |
| Nov 23, 2019 | St Maur Lusitanos 0-1 Epinal | National 2 - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Epinal vs St Maur Lusitanos on Jun 3, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Epinal score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; St Maur Lusitanos score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epinal | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| St Maur Lusitanos | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Epinal sit 5th in National 2 - Group A (1 points from 1 matches) and St Maur Lusitanos sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Epinal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | St Maur Lusitanos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Epinal vs St Maur Lusitanos?
- The Footlab model makes St Maur Lusitanos the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Epinal.
- Where and when is Epinal vs St Maur Lusitanos played?
- Epinal vs St Maur Lusitanos is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Colombière, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.