Bataguassu vs Dourados Atlético: prediction and stats
Sul-MatogrossenseMatchday 9Kick-off on February 24, 2027 at 11:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Bataguassu the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Dourados Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bataguassu wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bataguassu vs Dourados Atlético?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Bataguassu (1,464) and Dourados Atlético (1,504).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bataguassu vs Dourados Atlético
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bataguassu
Not enough data to predict the Bataguassu lineup.
Dourados Atlético
4-3-3- 9Luan Miguel
- 20Keslley dos Santos Lopes
- GGabriel Barcos
- 10Diego Rosa
- HHippólito
- 11Flaviano
- 6Thiago Moura
- JJúnior Prego
- LLeo de Souza Junior
- ÁÁdson
- 1Felipe
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bataguassu have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Dourados Atlético have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Operario Ferroviario(away) | 1-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Operario Ferroviario(home) | 1-3 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Naviraiense(away) | 4-0 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Naviraiense(home) | 0-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Ivinhema(away) | 3-4 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Corumbaense(away) | 0-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Corumbaense(home) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Mar 1, 2026 | CR Aquidauana(home) | 3-3 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Corumbaense(away) | 0-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Bataguassu(home) | 7-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Bataguassu wins, 0 draws, 1 Dourados Atlético win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Dourados Atlético 7-2 Bataguassu | Sul-Matogrossense |
Last archived meeting: Dourados Atlético vs Bataguassu on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bataguassu score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dourados Atlético score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bataguassu | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Dourados Atlético | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bataguassu sit 5th in Sul-Matogrossense (12 points from 9 matches) and Dourados Atlético sit 6th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bataguassu | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 6 | Dourados Atlético | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Bataguassu vs Dourados Atlético?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bataguassu vs Dourados Atlético?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bataguassu the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Dourados Atlético.
- Where and when is Bataguassu vs Dourados Atlético played?
- Bataguassu vs Dourados Atlético is played on February 24, 2027 at 11:30 PM (UTC), in the Sul-Matogrossense.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.