Bath City vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Bath City the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bath City vs Basingstoke Town?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Bath City (1,737) and Basingstoke Town (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Bath City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Basingstoke Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town 1-1 Bath City | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Bath City 2-0 Basingstoke Town | FA Trophy |
| Jan 14, 2012 | Bath City 1-0 Basingstoke Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Basingstoke Town vs Bath City on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bath City score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath City | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Basingstoke Town?
- The Footlab model makes Bath City the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Bath City vs Basingstoke Town played?
- Bath City vs Basingstoke Town is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Havant & WvillevsPlymouth Parkway
- Mar 20, 2027Taunton TownvsUxbridge
- Mar 20, 2027Bracknell TownvsYate Town
- Mar 20, 2027Chertsey TownvsSholing
- Mar 20, 2027Evesham UnitedvsHanworth Villa
- Mar 20, 2027Hanwell TownvsGloucester City
- Mar 20, 2027Gosport BoroughvsFrome Town
- Mar 20, 2027Poole TownvsBerkhamsted