Poole Town vs Berkhamsted: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Berkhamsted. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poole Town vs Berkhamsted?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,856) and Berkhamsted (1,851).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Berkhamsted have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Poole Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Berkhamsted win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted 2-3 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Poole Town 3-1 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Berkhamsted 1-2 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Berkhamsted vs Poole Town on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Berkhamsted sit 20th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 20 | Berkhamsted | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Berkhamsted?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Berkhamsted.
- Where and when is Poole Town vs Berkhamsted played?
- Poole Town vs Berkhamsted is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 20, 2027Taunton TownvsUxbridge
- Mar 20, 2027Bracknell TownvsYate Town
- Mar 20, 2027Chertsey TownvsSholing
- Mar 20, 2027Evesham UnitedvsHanworth Villa
- Mar 20, 2027Hanwell TownvsGloucester City
- Mar 20, 2027Gosport BoroughvsFrome Town
- Mar 20, 2027Wimborne TownvsMalvern Town