Bavois vs Basel II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Peupliers, Bavois
The Footlab model makes Bavois the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Basel II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bavois vs Basel II?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Bavois (1,697) and Basel II (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bavois have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Basel II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Servette FC(home) | 0-7 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zürich II(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bellinzona(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zürich II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bellinzona(away) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Brühl(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bavois win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Basel II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Bavois 0-2 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Basel II 1-4 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Basel II 3-1 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Bavois 3-0 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Bavois 1-0 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Basel II 0-2 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Bavois score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Basel II score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bavois | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Basel II | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bavois sit 10th in 1. Liga Promotion (5 points from 4 matches) and Basel II sit 15th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bavois | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 15 | Basel II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bavois vs Basel II?
- The Footlab model makes Bavois the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Basel II.
- Where and when is Bavois vs Basel II played?
- Bavois vs Basel II is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Peupliers, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.