Bavois vs Basel II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Peupliers, Bavois
The Footlab AI model makes Basel II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Bavois. The most likely score is 1-1. If Basel II wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bavois vs Basel II?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Bavois (1,506) and Basel II (1,589).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bavois vs Basel II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bavois
Not enough data to predict the Bavois lineup.
Basel II
Not enough data to predict the Basel II lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bavois have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Basel II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Breitenrain(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Luzern II(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Young Boys II(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luzern II(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Young Boys II(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lugano II(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bavois wins, 0 draws, 2 Basel II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Bavois 0-2 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Basel II 1-4 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Basel II 3-1 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Bavois 3-0 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Bavois 1-0 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Basel II 0-2 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Bavois score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Basel II score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bavois | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Basel II | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bavois sit 16th in 1. Liga Promotion (8 points from 11 matches) and Basel II sit 8th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Basel II | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 16 |
| 16 | Bavois | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Bavois vs Basel II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bavois vs Basel II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Basel II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Bavois.
- Where and when is Bavois vs Basel II played?
- Bavois vs Basel II is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Peupliers, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.